Previsão de atividade solar a partir da configuração dos campos magnéticos fotosféricos
dc.contributor.advisor | Silva, Adriana Valio Roque da | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes | http://lattes.cnpq.br/1041565102315246 | por |
dc.contributor.author | Raffaelli, Tatiana Ferreira | pt_BR |
dc.creator.Lattes | http://lattes.cnpq.br/4850159588410222 | por |
dc.date.accessioned | 2016-03-15T19:38:06Z | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2020-05-28T18:08:41Z | |
dc.date.available | 2007-11-09 | pt_BR |
dc.date.available | 2020-05-28T18:08:41Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2007-09-18 | pt_BR |
dc.description.abstract | The existence of a highly reliable prediction system to detect the occurrence of large solar flares (class X) is still an unsolved problem. Despite many studies performed so far, no such a system has been found yet. In this work, we have developed a method using Bayesian Network - an Artificial Intelligence technique for the detection of giant solar flares. The Bayesian Networks software learned the relation among the variables that describe the sunspots within an active region and built a network with the relationships among them based on conditional probabilities. The studies were divided into two stages one to detect whether the sunspot would produce a big flare or not and another phase where some networks were built to discover the day the flare would occur. The first phase results were very satisfactory reaching a reliability of 77%. The second phase was more complex and the results were about 77% (with day constraints) and 54% (a wider range of days). | eng |
dc.format | application/pdf | por |
dc.identifier.citation | RAFFAELLI, Tatiana Ferreira. Previsão de atividade solar a partir da configuração dos campos magnéticos fotosféricos. 2007. 107 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Engenharia Elétrica) - Universidade Presbiteriana Mackenzie, São Paulo, 2007. | por |
dc.identifier.uri | http://dspace.mackenzie.br/handle/10899/24392 | |
dc.language | por | por |
dc.publisher | Universidade Presbiteriana Mackenzie | por |
dc.rights | Acesso Aberto | por |
dc.subject | Regiões ativas. Explosões solares. Redes Bayesianas. Fusão de informação. Sistemas de previsão. | por |
dc.subject | Active Regions. Solar flares. Bayesian networks. Fusion of information. Forecast systems. | eng |
dc.subject.cnpq | CNPQ::ENGENHARIAS::ENGENHARIA ELETRICA | por |
dc.thumbnail.url | http://tede.mackenzie.br/jspui/retrieve/3603/Tatiana%20Ferreira%20Raffaelli.pdf.jpg | * |
dc.title | Previsão de atividade solar a partir da configuração dos campos magnéticos fotosféricos | por |
dc.type | Dissertação | por |
local.contributor.board1 | Marengoni, Maurício | pt_BR |
local.contributor.board1Lattes | http://lattes.cnpq.br/1974791787566027 | por |
local.contributor.board2 | Costa, Joaquim Eduardo Rezende | pt_BR |
local.contributor.board2Lattes | http://lattes.cnpq.br/7275059047419031 | por |
local.publisher.country | BR | por |
local.publisher.department | Engenharia Elétrica | por |
local.publisher.initials | UPM | por |
local.publisher.program | Engenharia Elétrica | por |
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