A multi-agent system to predict the outcome of a two-round election
Tipo
Artigo
Data de publicação
2020
Periódico
Applied Mathematics and Computation
Citações (Scopus)
5
Autores
Charcon D.Y.
Monteiro L.H.A.
Monteiro L.H.A.
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Resumo
© 2020 Elsevier Inc.Here, an agent-based model is developed to forecast the outcome of a three-party election in a two-round voting system. The vote of each agent is determined from four variables related to economic indicators, quality of public services, ethical conduct of the current administration, and political profile of the voting population. In addition, each agent can be influenced by the opinion of the nearest neighbors. Numerical simulations are performed to investigate how these variables affect the elected candidate. The proposed model is also used to reproduce the presidential elections held in Brazil in 2010 and in Uruguay in 2019.
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Assuntos Scopus
Agent-based model , Economic indicators , Nearest neighbors , Presidential election , Public services , Three-party , Uruguay , Voting systems