COVID-19: The Vaccination Program and Its Influence on Air Travel Demand in the U.S.A.
Tipo
Artigo
Data de publicação
2023
Periódico
Transportation Research Record
Citações (Scopus)
0
Autores
Fernandes D.R.C.
Falcao V.A.
Silva C.F.A.D.
da Silva F.G.F.
Fernandes L.H.C.
Falcao V.A.
Silva C.F.A.D.
da Silva F.G.F.
Fernandes L.H.C.
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Resumo
© National Academy of Sciences: Transportation Research Board 2023.Aviation was one of the sectors most affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, this study aims to estimate the return of civil aviation in the U.S.A. after the start of the immunization campaign to combat the pandemic. The research is based on vaccination records after immunization started. First, we applied an ordinary least squares regression, which considers the sum of aircraft arrivals and landings as a dependent variable and the number of vaccine doses administered to the U.S. population as an independent variable. In addition, we examined the effect of the start of the COVID-19 pandemic and then the vaccination program on total aircraft movements. Finally, a regression analysis with a correction for heteroscedasticity was conducted, using the variables previously mentioned. We observed that the vaccination program was necessary to help the aviation sector recover enough in the U.S.A. to achieve the minimum number of operations that had taken place in 2019 at U.S. airports.
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Assuntos Scopus
Air cargo , Air travels , Airport systems , Aviation economic , Aviation forecasting , Aviation system planning , Aviation systems , Ordinary least squares regressions , System planning , Travel demand