Median demand for public services and performance election: Evidence of median voter model for Brazilian municipalities Demanda mediana por serviços públicos e desempenho eleitoral: Evidências do modelo do eleitor mediano para os municípios Brasileiros

de Menezes R.T.; Saiani C.C.S.; Zoghbi A.C.P.

Median demand for public services and performance election: Evidence of median voter model for Brazilian municipalities Demanda mediana por serviços públicos e desempenho eleitoral: Evidências do modelo do eleitor mediano para os municípios Brasileiros

Tipo

Artigo

Data de publicação

2011

Periódico

Estudos Economicos

Citações (Scopus)

3

Autores

de Menezes R.T.
Saiani C.C.S.
Zoghbi A.C.P.

Resumo

The aim of this work is to empirically test the validity of the median voter model for the Brazilian case. The test was made feasible by the possibility of reelection established in 1997 by the Reelection Amendment. With municipal information from the Demographic Census and from TSE for the year of 2000, we identified the bundle offered by candidates running for reelection as the expenditures realized during their first terms. Next, we estimated the demand for local public services. Relaxing the assumption of perfect information of candidates in relation to the median demand, and imposing a weaker hypothesis, of rational expectations, we justified the estimation of a measure of misperception of candidates for reelection in relation to median demand. Next, we estimated the impact of the module of this measure on the electoral performance of mayors incumbents using a selection model. The result suggests that the median voter model is valid for the case of Brazilian municipalities.