On the effects of the spatial distribution in an epidemic model based on cellular automaton
Tipo
Carta ao editor
Data de publicação
2017
Periódico
Ecological Complexity
Citações (Scopus)
2
Autores
Chaves L.L.
Monteiro L.H.A.
Monteiro L.H.A.
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© 2017 Elsevier B.V.Several theoretical studies on disease propagation assume that individuals belonging to different groups regarding their health conditions are homogeneously distributed over the space. This is the well-known homogenous mixing assumption, which supports epidemiological models written in terms of ordinary differential or difference equations. Here, we consider that the host population infected by a contagious pathogen is composed by two groups with distinct traits and habits, which can be homogeneously mixed or not. The pathogen propagation is modeled by using an asynchronous probabilistic cellular automaton. Our main goal is to examine how a heterogeneous spatial distribution of these groups affects the endemic state. We noted that homogeneous distribution favors the occurrence of oscillations in the population composition. Surprisingly, we found out that the propagation dynamics of the heterogeneous distribution can also be described by a set of ordinary difference equations.